Sunday, April 30, 2017

4 30 17 morning call

Sorry about the late calls, I'm struggling getting back into my circadian rhythm. Which, together with this picture of the heavy rain water coming down the Pali on the Maui Watch Facebook page, is also the reason why I didn't surf yesterday.


The WSL big wave awards were assigned yesterday and the Maui surfers once again dominated. Congratulations to Billy Kemper for the ride of the year award, Francisco Porcella for the biggest wave award and Paige Alms for the women's best overall performance award. I found out those results on this page. Here's Francisco's monster tow in wave at Nazare.



5am significant buoy readings
South shore

Lanai
2.4ft @ 14s from 198° (SSW)
South swell down in period, there's still waves but the webcam doesn't look too impressive. Here's a chest high set that I had to wait quite a bit for. Nobody out (yet) and wind from the north. Probably the water is dirty too.


Pat Caldwell put a long period reinforcement for today in his table, but I don't see it at any of the buoys, so it's probably going to arrive tomorrow.

North shore
NW
12.4ft @ 10s from 351° (N)

Waimea
5.9ft @ 9s from 350° (N)

Pauwela
6.4ft @ 9s from 340° (NNW)

The waves did come up in the afternoon on the north shore, but the onshore wind made them look very ugly. Unfortunately, today should be even worse, as some moderate to strong onshore are predicted to blow all day (stronger in the afternoon). 21(17-26)mph from 339, already at the Hookipa sensor at 6.50am.

I really hope to have the MC2km maps back at one point, this closeups on Windity just don't have enough resolution. This is the Euro model at 1pm.


Current wind map shows:
1) a small/distant/not well oriented NW fetch
2) a southerly fetch in the right spot east of New Zealand. Not a big one, but we should get a little something out of it in a week.
I forgot to circle the windswell fetch, you guys see it, right?

It's all about the rain these days, here's the 5am satellite picture.


6.25am rain radar


I've never seen such high numbers in the rain forecast row on Windguru. 59mm/3h this afternoon is a bit scary, but it might be a bit exaggerated. The other models at the bottom of the page "only" indicate 16 and 32... we shall see. I did a laundry on Thursday afternoon that is still hanging on the wire...

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